Joe Gandelman, posting over at Dean Esmay's Dean's World, talks about unscientific indicators of how the upcoming presidential election will end up. While I can't argue with past performance, without some sort of logical, traceable procedure or method, I can't evaluate for myself their likely accuracy for the future.
On the other hand, Joe points to an op-ed in The New York Times written by Stanley Fish, dean emeritus at the University of Illinois at Chicago. I'm not going to try to re-do the excellent job Joe did in his post, but the point is the effectiveness of the two nominees in articulating their respective positions on the issues. What some will find surprising is the conclusion that Bush is the more effective speaker — devastatingly so.
Unless this changes drastically, I can reiterate my earlier prediction: President Bush will decisively win reelection.
